2-nd ETSAP-VII Workshop, 1-4 November 1999, Proceedings

Location: Hotel Marijke, Dorpsstraat 23, Bergen, the Netherlands

The Proceedings of the Workshop have been recently completed and have been sent to the ETSAP representatives and the Workshop participants. Under certain conditions (e.g. handling and administration costs), the proceedings are also available to other interested persons. For further information, please contact the ETSAP Secretariat, Manuela Loos (loos@ecn.nl).

Previous Workshops:
29 April - 4 May 1999, Washington, DC
26 October - 28 October 1998, Antalya, Turkey

Introduction to the Proceedings

For the first time since April 1994 the Operating Agent hosted the ETSAP Workshop, following an established tradition to return once every few years to the home base of the ETSAP organization. In line with the priorities set at the previous meeting, much attention was given to reviewing the progress and discussion of further plans regarding the development of a next generation of ETSAP tools. A smaller group met on November 1st and 2nd to prepare for the full scale meetings on 3-4 November.

The biggest achievement in this area is no doubt that the new model TIMES, proceeding on schedule, is currently subjected to first validation tests. Anticipating the outcome of this process, options to develop an interface for use of TIMES by expert users from the main existing shell systems MESAP and ANSWER are actively explored. More detailed plans were discussed and agreed that aim to ensure that by the end of Annex VII, so by end 2001, a thoroughly tested TIMES model operating under one or more operational expert interfaces for data and scenario management can be released.

Other reports given at the workshop confirmed progress with development of global models, supported by ETSAP as part of its Common Program of Work. Relevant international initiated by the IEA and other organizations were presented, including the new collaborative activity of the IEA on experience curves for energy technology policy EXCETP. Experience gained by several ETSAP participants, utilizing the new MARKAL feature to represent endogenous technology learning can contribute to this work. Finally a suite of recent model studies were presented, ranging from local, regional and sectoral analyses to multi-national cooperative strategies and a comprehensive biomass study for the EU. Once more these examples confirm the wide array of areas in which the ETSAP tools are employed today.

As usual the Executive Committee meeting was scheduled immediately after the regular ETSAP Workshop on Friday, 5 November.

GianCarlo TOSATO
ETSAP Project Head
EFDA/ CSU, IPP, Max-Plank-Institut
Boltzmannstr.2, D-85748 Garching Bei Muenchen
Phone: +(4989)3299-4194
fax. +(4989)3299-4197
e-mail: gct@etsap.org

Papers presented

ANNEX VII-Contributing to the Kyoto Protocol



Wednesday 3 NOVEMBER

- Draft Programme of Work ETSAP Annex VII

T. Kram

- The Kyoto Protocol and beyond - analyzed with 9RT including endogenous technological learning

S. Kypreos

- Status of data collection for the World TIMES

A. Kanudia

- Contributions to other projects and activities

T. Kram

- EXCETP - An international collaboration on Experience Curves for Energy Technology Policy

C-O. Wene

- The contribution of renewable energy in the Netherlands until 2020

R. Ybema

- RMARKAL-ANSWER and other recent ANSWER enhancements

K. Noble

- Status of ANSWER adoption in ETSAP

A. Seebregts

- Status of TIMES Integration into MESAP (318 kB)

Ulrich Schellmann

- Development of TIMES: status, validation and expert shell

G. Goldstein


Thursday 4 NOVEMBER

- The Nordleden project - Grid distributed energy trades and common action among the Nordic countries to facilitate CO2 reduction/Modelling Electricity and CO2 trade in Nordic and Baltic States using MARKAL

T. Larsson, L. Alm

- The China Energy Technology Project and the modelling of regional electricity markets of China

S. Kypreos

- The role of energy technology systems analysis in regional environmental planning

V. Cuomo

- Some considerations on the RMARKAL application to a local case study

E. Lavagno, D. Scaramuccia, L. Barreto

- Brief update on IEA

F. Unander

- Biomass for greenhouse gas emission reduction (BRED)

M. de Feber

- A MARKAL model for the Norwegian Paper and Pulp Industry

L. Alm

- Lessons learned from exploiting the endogenous technology learning (ETL) feature of MARKAL

A. Seebregts

- Deriving some economic indicators from MARKAL results

R. Loulou

- Impacts of energy saving strategies on employment in Germany

A. Kraft